Advanced Probability

Site: Young Education
Course: Probability and Combinatorics
Book: Advanced Probability
Printed by: Guest user
Date: Friday, 25 September 2026, 1:16 AM

1. Bayes' Theorem

Learning outcomes
  • I can explain Bayes' Theorem.
  • I can calculate posterior probabilities.
  • I can interpret Bayesian reasoning.
  • I can solve diagnostic testing problems.
  • I can apply Bayesian thinking to real-world situations.

2. Independent and Dependent Events

Learning outcomes
  • I can distinguish independent and dependent events.
  • I can calculate joint probabilities.
  • I can analyse probability models.
  • I can solve complex probability problems.
  • I can justify probability calculations.

3. Markov Processes

Learning outcomes
  • I can describe simple Markov processes.
  • I can interpret transition diagrams.
  • I can calculate transition probabilities.
  • I can model simple stochastic systems.
  • I can apply Markov models to practical situations.

4. Simulation and Monte Carlo Methods

Learning outcomes
  • I can explain simulation techniques.
  • I can perform Monte Carlo simulations.
  • I can estimate probabilities experimentally.
  • I can compare theoretical and simulated results.
  • I can evaluate simulation accuracy.

5. Probability Models

Learning outcomes
  • I can construct probability models.
  • I can evaluate model assumptions.
  • I can compare competing models.
  • I can solve applied probability problems.
  • I can communicate probability reasoning effectively.