Measurement and Uncertainty
| Site: | Young Education |
| Cours: | Experimental Physics and Scientific Measurement |
| Livre: | Measurement and Uncertainty |
| Imprimé par: | Guest user |
| Date: | vendredi, 25 septembre 2026, 04:56 |
1. SI units
Learning outcomes
- I can identify the seven SI base units and the physical quantities they measure.
- I can distinguish between base units and derived units.
- I can express measurements using the correct SI units and symbols.
- I can explain why scientists use the International System of Units (SI).
- I can apply SI units correctly in scientific calculations and experiments.
Introduction
Imagine scientists from different countries trying to compare the results of an experiment. If one scientist measures length in feet, another in metres, and another in yards, comparing the results would be confusing and could lead to serious mistakes.
To avoid this problem, scientists around the world use a common system of measurement called the International System of Units, abbreviated as SI (from the French Système International d'Unités).
Using SI units allows scientists, engineers, doctors, and researchers to communicate measurements accurately and consistently.
What are SI Units?
SI units are the internationally agreed standard units used to measure physical quantities.
They are used in:
- Scientific research
- Engineering
- Medicine
- Industry
- Education
- International trade
Using one standard system means that measurements can be understood anywhere in the world.
Physical Quantities
A physical quantity is something that can be measured.
Examples include:
- Length
- Mass
- Time
- Temperature
- Electric current
Every measurement has:
- a number
- a unit
For example:
- 5 m
- 12 kg
- 30 s
- 18 °C (temperature is commonly measured in degrees Celsius, although the SI base unit is the kelvin.)
The Seven SI Base Units
The SI system is built on seven base units.
These are the fundamental units from which all other SI units are derived.
| Physical Quantity | SI Base Unit | Symbol |
|---|---|---|
| Length | metre | m |
| Mass | kilogram | kg |
| Time | second | s |
| Electric current | ampere | A |
| Temperature | kelvin | K |
| Amount of substance | mole | mol |
| Luminous intensity | candela | cd |
Common Measuring Instruments
Each SI quantity is measured using appropriate equipment.
| Quantity | Instrument |
|---|---|
| Length | Ruler, measuring tape, vernier calipers |
| Mass | Electronic balance |
| Time | Stopwatch or clock |
| Temperature | Thermometer |
| Electric current | Ammeter |
Scientists choose instruments based on the required accuracy.
Base Units vs Derived Units
Some quantities can be measured directly.
These use base units.
Other quantities are calculated using combinations of base units.
These are called derived units.
Examples:
| Quantity | Derived Unit |
|---|---|
| Area | m² |
| Volume | m³ |
| Speed | m/s |
| Acceleration | m/s² |
| Force | newton (N = kg·m/s²) |
| Energy | joule (J) |
| Pressure | pascal (Pa) |
Derived units are formed by multiplying or dividing base units.
Writing SI Units Correctly
Scientists follow standard rules when writing SI units.
Symbols
Use the correct symbols.
Correct:
- 5 m
- 12 kg
- 8 s
Incorrect:
- 5 M
- 12 KG
- 8 Sec
Spacing
Leave one space between the number and the unit.
Correct:
12 m
Incorrect:
12m
Unit Symbols
Unit symbols are never plural.
Correct:
5 kg
Incorrect:
5 kgs
Capital Letters
Most unit symbols use lowercase letters.
Examples:
- m
- s
- mol
Units named after scientists begin with a capital letter.
Examples:
- N (newton)
- J (joule)
- Pa (pascal)
- A (ampere)
- K (kelvin)
Why Do Scientists Use SI Units?
A universal system offers many advantages.
It:
- allows scientists worldwide to compare results
- reduces errors in calculations
- simplifies communication
- improves accuracy
- makes experiments easier to reproduce
Without standard units, scientific work would be much more difficult.
SI Units in Calculations
Whenever you solve a scientific problem:
- write the correct units
- include units in every calculation
- check that the final answer has appropriate units
For example:
Distance:
20 m
Time:
4 s
Speed:
20 ÷ 4 = 5 m/s
The units help verify that the calculation is correct.
Real-World Applications
SI units are used in:
- Scientific laboratories
- Hospitals
- Construction
- Engineering
- Aviation
- Space exploration
- Manufacturing
- Weather forecasting
- Environmental monitoring
Almost every scientific measurement relies on SI units.
Worked Examples
Example 1
Which SI base unit measures length?
Answer:
metre (m)
Example 2
Which SI unit measures mass?
Answer:
kilogram (kg)
Example 3
Is m/s a base unit or a derived unit?
Answer:
Derived unit
Example 4
Which quantity is measured in seconds?
Answer:
Time
Example 5
Write the correct SI unit for electric current.
Answer:
ampere (A)
Example 6
A student measures a mass of 350 grams.
Express this measurement in SI base units.
Answer:
0.350 kg
Did You Know?
In 1999, the Mars Climate Orbiter spacecraft was lost because one engineering team used imperial units (pounds-force) while another used SI units (newtons). The mismatch caused the spacecraft to enter Mars' atmosphere at the wrong altitude, leading to the loss of a mission worth hundreds of millions of dollars. This event highlights the importance of using a consistent system of units in science and engineering.
Key Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| SI Units | The internationally agreed system of measurement used in science. |
| Physical Quantity | A property that can be measured. |
| Base Unit | One of the seven fundamental SI units. |
| Derived Unit | A unit formed by combining SI base units. |
| Measurement | A number together with a unit describing a physical quantity. |
| Unit Symbol | The standard abbreviation used to represent a unit. |
Key Takeaways
- SI is the international standard system of measurement used in science.
- The SI system has seven base units that measure fundamental physical quantities.
- Derived units are combinations of base units.
- Measurements should always include the correct SI unit and symbol.
- Using SI units allows scientists worldwide to communicate accurately and compare experimental results reliably.
- Correct use of SI units is essential for scientific calculations, experiments, and engineering applications.
2. Precision vs accuracy
Learning outcomes
- I can distinguish between precision and accuracy.
- I can identify examples of precise and accurate measurements.
- I can explain how systematic and random errors affect measurements.
- I can evaluate the quality of experimental data based on precision and accuracy.
- I can suggest ways to improve the accuracy and precision of measurements.
Introduction
Scientists rarely obtain the exact same measurement every time they perform an experiment. Small differences naturally occur because of limitations in measuring instruments, experimental techniques, and environmental conditions.
When evaluating measurements, scientists consider two important ideas:
- Accuracy – How close a measurement is to the true or accepted value.
- Precision – How close repeated measurements are to one another.
Understanding the difference between these two concepts is essential for designing reliable experiments and interpreting scientific data.
What is Accuracy?
Accuracy describes how close a measurement is to the true or accepted value.
The closer the measurement is to the correct value, the more accurate it is.
Example
Suppose the true length of a metal rod is 25.0 cm.
A student measures:
- 24.9 cm
This measurement is very accurate because it is close to the true value.
What is Precision?
Precision describes how close repeated measurements are to each other.
If repeated measurements are very similar, they are considered precise.
Precision is about consistency, not necessarily correctness.
Example
A student measures the same object five times:
- 18.2 cm
- 18.2 cm
- 18.1 cm
- 18.2 cm
- 18.1 cm
These measurements are highly precise because they are very close together.
Accuracy vs Precision
Accuracy and precision are not the same thing.
A set of measurements may be:
- Accurate and precise
- Accurate but not precise
- Precise but not accurate
- Neither accurate nor precise
The following target diagrams help illustrate these possibilities.
| Situation | Description |
|---|---|
| Accurate and Precise | Measurements are close to the true value and close to one another. |
| Accurate but Not Precise | Measurements average close to the true value but are spread out. |
| Precise but Not Accurate | Measurements are close together but far from the true value. |
| Neither Accurate nor Precise | Measurements are scattered and far from the true value. |
Examples of Accuracy and Precision
Suppose the true mass of an object is 100.0 g.
Example A
Measurements:
- 99.9 g
- 100.0 g
- 100.1 g
These measurements are:
- Accurate
- Precise
Example B
Measurements:
- 94.8 g
- 94.9 g
- 94.8 g
These measurements are:
- Precise
- Not accurate
Example C
Measurements:
- 98.5 g
- 101.2 g
- 100.3 g
These measurements average close to the true value but vary considerably.
They are:
- Fairly accurate
- Not very precise
Sources of Error
Measurements are affected by experimental errors.
Errors do not necessarily mean mistakes have been made.
Instead, they refer to factors that cause measurements to differ from the true value.
The two main types are:
- Systematic errors
- Random errors
Systematic Errors
A systematic error affects every measurement in the same way.
It shifts all measurements in one direction.
Common causes include:
- A balance that always reads 0.5 g too high.
- A ruler with a worn or damaged zero mark.
- A thermometer that has not been calibrated correctly.
Systematic errors mainly reduce accuracy.
Random Errors
A random error causes small, unpredictable differences between measurements.
Examples include:
- Slight reaction time differences when using a stopwatch.
- Reading a scale from slightly different angles.
- Small temperature changes during an experiment.
- Tiny vibrations in laboratory equipment.
Random errors mainly reduce precision.
Comparing Systematic and Random Errors
| Systematic Error | Random Error |
|---|---|
| Same effect every time | Varies unpredictably |
| Reduces accuracy | Reduces precision |
| Often caused by faulty equipment | Often caused by natural variation |
| Can sometimes be corrected by calibration | Reduced by repeating measurements |
Evaluating Experimental Data
Scientists examine both accuracy and precision when evaluating results.
Good experimental data should be:
- Close to the accepted value.
- Consistent when repeated.
Neither accuracy nor precision alone is sufficient.
Reliable scientific measurements require both.
Improving Accuracy
Accuracy can often be improved by:
- Calibrating measuring instruments.
- Using higher-quality equipment.
- Checking for zero errors.
- Following correct measuring techniques.
- Avoiding parallax error when reading scales.
Improving Precision
Precision can often be improved by:
- Repeating measurements several times.
- Calculating the average (mean) result.
- Using instruments with finer scale divisions.
- Keeping experimental conditions consistent.
- Measuring carefully using the same technique each time.
Real-World Applications
Accuracy and precision are essential in many professions.
Examples include:
- Medical laboratories
- Pharmaceutical manufacturing
- Engineering
- Construction
- Space exploration
- Scientific research
- Environmental monitoring
- Quality control in manufacturing
Small measurement errors can have serious consequences, making accurate and precise measurements essential.
Worked Examples
Example 1
The accepted mass of an object is 50.0 g.
A student records:
- 50.1 g
- 50.0 g
- 49.9 g
Answer:
The measurements are both accurate and precise.
Example 2
A balance always reads 0.4 g too high.
What type of error is this?
Answer:
A systematic error.
Example 3
A student records:
- 32.1 cm
- 31.7 cm
- 32.4 cm
- 31.9 cm
The measurements are spread out.
Answer:
The measurements have low precision.
Example 4
How can precision be improved?
Answer:
Repeat the measurements several times and calculate the average.
Example 5
How can accuracy be improved?
Answer:
Calibrate measuring instruments and use correct measuring techniques.
Did You Know?
Modern scientific laboratories often use instruments capable of measuring extremely small differences. For example, analytical balances can measure masses to 0.0001 g (0.1 mg), allowing scientists to detect tiny changes that would be impossible to observe with ordinary classroom equipment.
Key Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Accuracy | How close a measurement is to the true or accepted value. |
| Precision | How close repeated measurements are to one another. |
| Systematic Error | A consistent error that shifts all measurements in the same direction. |
| Random Error | An unpredictable variation that causes measurements to differ slightly from one another. |
| Calibration | Adjusting an instrument so that it gives accurate measurements. |
| Parallax Error | An error caused by viewing a scale from the wrong angle. |
Key Takeaways
- Accuracy describes how close a measurement is to the true value.
- Precision describes how consistent repeated measurements are.
- Measurements can be accurate without being precise, or precise without being accurate.
- Systematic errors mainly reduce accuracy.
- Random errors mainly reduce precision.
- Repeating measurements, calibrating equipment, and using proper measuring techniques improve the quality of experimental data.
3. Significant Figures
Learning outcomes
- I can determine the number of significant figures in measured values.
- I can apply the rules for significant figures during calculations.
- I can round answers to the correct number of significant figures.
- I can explain why significant figures reflect measurement precision.
- I can report calculated results using appropriate significant figures.
Introduction
When scientists make measurements, they can never know a value with perfect certainty. Every measuring instrument has a limit to how precisely it can measure.
To show the precision of a measurement, scientists use significant figures (often called significant digits or sig figs).
Significant figures tell us which digits in a measurement are meaningful and help ensure that calculated answers do not appear more precise than the original measurements.
For example:
- 12 m suggests a less precise measurement than
- 12.00 m
Although both have the same numerical value, the second measurement shows that the length was measured much more precisely.
What Are Significant Figures?
Significant figures are the digits in a measurement that carry meaningful information about its precision.
They include:
- All certain digits
- The first uncertain (estimated) digit
The last significant figure is always an estimate made by the observer.
Why Are Significant Figures Important?
Suppose two students measure the same object.
Student A records:
15 cm
Student B records:
15.000 cm
Although both values are numerically equal, Student B has measured the object much more precisely.
Significant figures communicate this difference.
Without significant figures, scientists could easily misinterpret the quality of measurements.
Rules for Counting Significant Figures
Rule 1: All Non-Zero Digits Are Significant
Every digit from 1 to 9 is significant.
Examples:
| Measurement | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| 34 | 2 |
| 582 | 3 |
| 9146 | 4 |
Rule 2: Zeros Between Non-Zero Digits Are Significant
Examples:
| Measurement | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 101 | 3 |
| 5007 | 4 |
| 2.03 | 3 |
The zeros are part of the measured value.
Rule 3: Leading Zeros Are NOT Significant
Zeros before the first non-zero digit simply locate the decimal point.
Examples:
| Measurement | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1 |
| 0.034 | 2 |
| 0.00780 | 3 |
Only the digits 7, 8, and 0 are significant in the last example.
Rule 4: Trailing Zeros After a Decimal Point ARE Significant
Examples:
| Measurement | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 4.0 | 2 |
| 6.20 | 3 |
| 12.500 | 5 |
These zeros show additional measurement precision.
Rule 5: Trailing Zeros Without a Decimal Point Are Usually Not Significant
Examples:
| Measurement | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 1500 | Usually 2 |
| 40000 | Usually 1 |
Because the precision is unclear, scientists often use scientific notation.
For example:
| Scientific Notation | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 1.5 × 10³ | 2 |
| 1.500 × 10³ | 4 |
| 4.00 × 10⁴ | 3 |
Counting Significant Figures
Let's practice.
| Measurement | Significant Figures |
|---|---|
| 25.4 | 3 |
| 0.00482 | 3 |
| 1003 | 4 |
| 7.80 | 3 |
| 9.000 | 4 |
| 0.0500 | 3 |
Significant Figures in Calculations
Different mathematical operations use different rules.
Multiplication and Division
The answer should contain the same number of significant figures as the measurement with the fewest significant figures.
Example
Calculate:
4.52 × 2.1
Calculator:
9.492
Since 2.1 has 2 significant figures, the answer becomes:
9.5
Addition and Subtraction
For addition and subtraction, use the smallest number of decimal places, not the smallest number of significant figures.
Example
15.42 + 2.1
Calculator:
17.52
Since 2.1 has 1 decimal place, the answer is:
17.5
Rounding to Significant Figures
When rounding:
- If the next digit is 5 or greater, round up.
- If it is less than 5, leave the digit unchanged.
Examples:
| Number | Rounded |
|---|---|
| 6.847 (3 s.f.) | 6.85 |
| 0.003426 (2 s.f.) | 0.0034 |
| 1257 (2 s.f.) | 1300 |
| 9.995 (3 s.f.) | 10.0 |
Notice that 10.0 has 3 significant figures.
Why Significant Figures Reflect Precision
The number of significant figures tells us how carefully a measurement was made.
Compare:
| Measurement | Precision |
|---|---|
| 12 m | Low |
| 12.0 m | Higher |
| 12.00 m | Even higher |
The extra digits indicate that the measuring instrument could distinguish smaller intervals.
Reporting Scientific Results
When writing answers:
- Include units.
- Use the correct number of significant figures.
- Avoid reporting unnecessary digits from a calculator.
For example:
Calculator:
3.141592654
If the data justify only three significant figures:
3.14
Reporting more digits would imply a level of precision that the measurements do not support.
Real-World Applications
Significant figures are important in:
- Scientific laboratories
- Medicine
- Engineering
- Manufacturing
- Construction
- Environmental science
- Space exploration
- Quality control
Correct use of significant figures helps scientists report measurements honestly and consistently.
Worked Examples
Example 1
How many significant figures are in 0.00560?
Answer:
3 significant figures
(5, 6, and the trailing 0)
Example 2
Round 18.476 to 4 significant figures.
Answer:
18.48
Example 3
Calculate:
5.62 × 2.0
Calculator:
11.24
The smallest number of significant figures is 2.
Answer:
11
Example 4
Calculate:
16.32 + 4.8
Calculator:
21.12
The smallest number of decimal places is 1.
Answer:
21.1
Example 5
Why are significant figures important?
Answer:
They show the precision of measurements and prevent calculated answers from implying greater accuracy than the original data support.
Did You Know?
Many modern digital laboratory instruments automatically display measurements with an appropriate number of significant figures based on their precision. However, scientists must still decide how many significant figures to report after performing calculations, ensuring that the final result reflects the precision of the original measurements rather than the extra digits produced by a calculator.
Key Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Significant Figures | The meaningful digits in a measurement, including all certain digits and the first estimated digit. |
| Precision | The level of detail or consistency in a measurement. |
| Leading Zeros | Zeros before the first non-zero digit; they are not significant. |
| Trailing Zeros | Zeros at the end of a number; they may or may not be significant depending on the presence of a decimal point. |
| Scientific Notation | A way of writing numbers using powers of ten to clearly show their significant figures. |
| Rounding | Adjusting a number to the required number of significant figures or decimal places. |
Key Takeaways
- Significant figures communicate the precision of a measurement.
- All non-zero digits are significant.
- Leading zeros are not significant.
- Zeros between non-zero digits are always significant.
- Trailing zeros after a decimal point are significant.
- In multiplication and division, the answer should have the same number of significant figures as the least precise measurement.
- In addition and subtraction, the answer should have the same number of decimal places as the measurement with the fewest decimal places.
- Scientific results should always be reported with an appropriate number of significant figures and the correct units.
4. Absolute and percentage uncertainty
Learning outcomes
- I can calculate the absolute uncertainty of a measurement.
- I can calculate percentage uncertainty from experimental data.
- I can compare the uncertainties of different measurements.
- I can interpret the effect of uncertainty on experimental reliability.
- I can report measurements with appropriate uncertainty notation.
Introduction
No scientific measurement is perfectly exact. Every measuring instrument has limitations, and every measurement contains a small amount of uncertainty.
Instead of pretending measurements are perfect, scientists estimate the amount by which a measurement could differ from the true value. This estimate is called the measurement uncertainty.
Understanding uncertainty allows scientists to judge the quality and reliability of their data and compare the precision of different experiments.
What is Uncertainty?
Uncertainty is an estimate of the possible error in a measurement.
It tells us the range within which the true value is likely to lie.
For example:
Length = 25.4 ± 0.1 cm
This means the true length is expected to lie between:
- 25.3 cm
- 25.5 cm
The symbol ± means "plus or minus."
Absolute Uncertainty
The absolute uncertainty is the uncertainty expressed in the same units as the measurement.
Examples:
| Measurement | Absolute Uncertainty |
|---|---|
| 18.5 ± 0.1 cm | ±0.1 cm |
| 250 ± 2 g | ±2 g |
| 6.42 ± 0.01 s | ±0.01 s |
Absolute uncertainty tells us the possible error directly.
Estimating Absolute Uncertainty
For many measuring instruments:
Analogue Instruments
The absolute uncertainty is usually taken as:
± half the smallest scale division
Example:
A ruler marked every 1 mm
Smallest division:
1 mm
Absolute uncertainty:
±0.5 mm
Digital Instruments
For digital instruments, the uncertainty is usually:
± one smallest displayed unit
Example:
Digital balance displays:
15.62 g
Smallest displayed value:
0.01 g
Absolute uncertainty:
±0.01 g
Percentage Uncertainty
Sometimes absolute uncertainty alone is not enough.
Scientists often calculate percentage uncertainty to compare different measurements.
Percentage uncertainty tells us how large the uncertainty is relative to the size of the measurement.
The formula is:
\( Percentage \ Uncertainty = \frac{Absolute \ Uncertainty}{Measured \ Value} \cdot 100 \)%
Example 1
Length measured:
50.0 cm
Absolute uncertainty:
±0.5 cm
Percentage uncertainty:
\( \frac{0.5}{50.0} \cdot100 = 1 \)%
Answer:
1%
Example 2
Mass measured:
200 g
Absolute uncertainty:
±2 g
Percentage uncertainty:
\( \frac{2}{200} \cdot100 = 1 \)%
Answer:
1%
Example 3
Time measured:
5.0 s
Absolute uncertainty:
±0.2 s
Percentage uncertainty:
\( \frac{0.2}{5.0} \cdot100 = 4 \)%
Although the absolute uncertainty is small, the percentage uncertainty is much larger.
Comparing Measurements
Percentage uncertainty allows fair comparisons.
Consider two measurements.
| Measurement | Absolute Uncertainty | Percentage Uncertainty |
|---|---|---|
| 100.0 cm ±0.5 cm | 0.5 cm | 0.5% |
| 5.0 cm ±0.5 cm | 0.5 cm | 10% |
Both have the same absolute uncertainty.
However:
- The first measurement is much more reliable.
- The second has a much larger relative uncertainty.
Uncertainty and Reliability
Smaller percentage uncertainties usually indicate:
- More reliable measurements
- Greater precision
- Better-quality experimental data
Large percentage uncertainties suggest the experiment may need improvement.
Scientists always try to reduce uncertainty whenever possible.
Reducing Uncertainty
There are many ways to reduce measurement uncertainty.
These include:
- Using instruments with finer scale divisions.
- Taking repeated measurements.
- Calculating the average value.
- Measuring larger quantities when appropriate.
- Reading scales at eye level to avoid parallax error.
- Calibrating equipment before use.
Reporting Measurements
Measurements should include both the measured value and its uncertainty.
Examples:
- 15.2 ± 0.1 cm
- 0.845 ± 0.005 kg
- 12.50 ± 0.02 s
This gives other scientists a clear understanding of the quality of the measurement.
Real-World Applications
Measurement uncertainty is essential in:
- Scientific research
- Medical testing
- Pharmaceutical manufacturing
- Engineering
- Aerospace
- Environmental monitoring
- Construction
- Quality control
Knowing the uncertainty helps scientists decide whether results are trustworthy and whether differences between measurements are meaningful.
Worked Examples
Example 1
A ruler has millimetre divisions.
What is its absolute uncertainty?
Answer:
±0.5 mm
Example 2
A balance measures:
120.0 g
Absolute uncertainty:
±0.1 g
Calculate the percentage uncertainty.
Solution:
\( \frac{0.1}{120.0} \cdot100 = 0.083\)%
Answer:
0.083%
Example 3
A thermometer reads:
25.4 ± 0.5°C
What does this mean?
Answer:
The true temperature is likely between:
24.9°C and 25.9°C.
Example 4
Which measurement is more reliable?
A.
10.0 ± 0.5 cm
B.
100.0 ± 0.5 cm
Answer:
Measurement B has the smaller percentage uncertainty and is therefore more reliable.
Example 5
Give two ways to reduce uncertainty.
Answer:
Possible answers include:
- Use more precise measuring equipment.
- Repeat measurements and calculate the average.
- Calibrate measuring instruments.
- Avoid parallax error.
Did You Know?
Scientists at particle accelerators such as CERN often report measurements with extremely small uncertainties. Even tiny improvements in uncertainty can lead to major discoveries, helping physicists distinguish between ordinary measurement variations and evidence for entirely new particles or physical phenomena.
Key Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Uncertainty | An estimate of the possible error in a measurement. |
| Absolute Uncertainty | The uncertainty expressed in the same units as the measurement. |
| Percentage Uncertainty | The uncertainty expressed as a percentage of the measured value. |
| Reliable Measurement | A measurement with relatively small uncertainty and good precision. |
| Calibration | Adjusting an instrument so it gives accurate measurements. |
| Parallax Error | An error caused by viewing a measuring scale from the wrong angle. |
Key Takeaways
- Every scientific measurement has some uncertainty.
- Absolute uncertainty is expressed in the same units as the measurement.
- Percentage uncertainty compares the uncertainty with the size of the measurement.
- Smaller percentage uncertainties generally indicate more reliable measurements.
- Repeating measurements, using more precise instruments, and careful measuring techniques help reduce uncertainty.
- Scientific measurements should always be reported together with an appropriate estimate of their uncertainty.
5. Error propagation
Learning outcomes
- I can explain how uncertainties combine during calculations.
- I can determine uncertainty in sums, differences, products, and quotients.
- I can estimate the uncertainty of calculated results.
- I can evaluate the reliability of derived quantities.
- I can communicate calculated values with appropriate uncertainties.
Introduction
Scientists often calculate new quantities from measurements. For example, you might measure the length and width of a table to calculate its area, or measure distance and time to calculate speed.
Since every measurement contains some uncertainty, the calculated result must also contain uncertainty.
The process of determining how measurement uncertainties affect a calculated result is called error propagation (or uncertainty propagation).
Understanding error propagation helps scientists determine how reliable their calculated results are.
Why Does Uncertainty Propagate?
Imagine measuring the sides of a rectangle.
Length:
20.0 ± 0.1 cm
Width:
10.0 ± 0.1 cm
Neither measurement is exact.
Therefore, the calculated area cannot be exact either.
Whenever measurements are combined mathematically, their uncertainties combine as well.
Different Calculations Combine Uncertainties Differently
The way uncertainties combine depends on the type of mathematical calculation.
| Calculation | Uncertainty Rule |
|---|---|
| Addition | Add absolute uncertainties |
| Subtraction | Add absolute uncertainties |
| Multiplication | Add percentage uncertainties |
| Division | Add percentage uncertainties |
These simple rules work well for most school-level laboratory calculations.
Addition
When adding measurements:
Add the absolute uncertainties.
Example
Length A:
12.0 ± 0.2 cm
Length B:
8.0 ± 0.1 cm
Total length:
20.0 cm
Total uncertainty:
±(0.2 + 0.1)
= ±0.3 cm
Final answer:
20.0 ± 0.3 cm
Subtraction
Subtract the values, but add the absolute uncertainties.
Example
Initial volume:
50.0 ± 0.2 mL
Final volume:
20.0 ± 0.2 mL
Difference:
30.0 mL
Uncertainty:
±(0.2 + 0.2)
= ±0.4 mL
Final answer:
30.0 ± 0.4 mL
Multiplication
For multiplication, use percentage uncertainties.
Step 1
Calculate the percentage uncertainty of each measurement.
Step 2
Add the percentage uncertainties.
Step 3
Calculate the uncertainty of the final answer if required.
Example
Length:
20.0 ± 0.2 cm
Percentage uncertainty:
\( \frac{0.2}{20.0} \cdot100 = 1 \)%
Width:
10.0 ± 0.1 cm
Percentage uncertainty:
\( \frac{0.1}{10.0} \cdot100 = 1 \)%
Area:
20.0 × 10.0 = 200 cm²
Combined percentage uncertainty:
1% + 1% = 2%
Final answer:
200 ± 4 cm²
since:
2% of 200 = 4
Division
Division follows exactly the same rule as multiplication.
Add the percentage uncertainties.
Example
Distance:
100.0 ± 1.0 m
Percentage uncertainty:
1%
Time:
20.0 ± 0.2 s
Percentage uncertainty:
1%
Speed:
100 ÷ 20 = 5.0 m/s
Combined percentage uncertainty:
2%
Final answer:
5.0 ± 0.1 m/s
Summary of Error Propagation Rules
| Operation | Rule |
|---|---|
| Add | Add absolute uncertainties |
| Subtract | Add absolute uncertainties |
| Multiply | Add percentage uncertainties |
| Divide | Add percentage uncertainties |
This simple table is one of the most useful references in experimental science.
Estimating Uncertainty in Derived Quantities
Many physical quantities are calculated from measurements.
Examples include:
| Quantity | Calculation |
|---|---|
| Speed | Distance ÷ Time |
| Density | Mass ÷ Volume |
| Area | Length × Width |
| Volume | Length × Width × Height |
| Pressure | Force ÷ Area |
Each calculated quantity inherits uncertainty from the measurements used to calculate it.
Reliability of Calculated Results
A derived quantity with a small percentage uncertainty is generally considered more reliable than one with a large percentage uncertainty.
For example:
| Result | Percentage Uncertainty |
|---|---|
| 25.0 ± 0.2 | 0.8% |
| 25.0 ± 2.5 | 10% |
The first result is much more reliable.
Scientists often compare percentage uncertainties when evaluating experimental methods.
Reporting Final Answers
Always report:
- the calculated value
- its uncertainty
- the correct units
Examples:
- 3.25 ± 0.05 m/s
- 200 ± 4 cm²
- 1.82 ± 0.03 g/cm³
Avoid reporting more decimal places than are justified by the uncertainty.
Real-World Applications
Error propagation is important in:
- Engineering
- Scientific research
- Medicine
- Manufacturing
- Environmental monitoring
- Space exploration
- Physics experiments
- Chemistry laboratories
Whenever measurements are used in calculations, uncertainty must also be considered.
Worked Examples
Example 1
A rod measures:
15.0 ± 0.2 cm
Another rod measures:
8.0 ± 0.1 cm
Find the total length.
Solution:
Length:
15.0 + 8.0 = 23.0 cm
Uncertainty:
0.2 + 0.1 = 0.3 cm
Answer:
23.0 ± 0.3 cm
Example 2
A rectangle measures:
12.0 ± 0.2 cm
by
5.0 ± 0.1 cm
Area:
60 cm²
Percentage uncertainties:
1.7%
2%
Combined:
3.7%
Absolute uncertainty:
3.7% of 60 ≈ 2 cm²
Answer:
60 ± 2 cm²
Example 3
A car travels:
240 ± 2 km
in
4.0 ± 0.1 h
Calculate the speed.
Speed:
240 ÷ 4 = 60 km/h
Percentage uncertainties:
Distance:
0.83%
Time:
2.5%
Combined:
3.33%
Absolute uncertainty:
3.33% of 60 ≈ 2 km/h
Answer:
60 ± 2 km/h
Example 4
Which result is more reliable?
A.
40 ± 1
B.
40 ± 5
Answer:
Result A has the smaller percentage uncertainty and is therefore more reliable.
Example 5
Why should uncertainty be reported with calculated values?
Answer:
Because calculated quantities inherit uncertainty from the original measurements, and reporting the uncertainty shows how reliable the result is.
Did You Know?
Space missions depend on careful uncertainty analysis. Engineers calculate how uncertainties in fuel mass, engine performance, and navigation measurements combine over time. Even tiny uncertainties can grow during a journey of millions of kilometres, so understanding error propagation is essential for guiding spacecraft accurately to their destinations.
Key Terms
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Error Propagation | The process of determining how measurement uncertainties combine during calculations. |
| Derived Quantity | A quantity calculated from one or more measured quantities. |
| Absolute Uncertainty | The uncertainty expressed in the same units as the measurement. |
| Percentage Uncertainty | The uncertainty expressed as a percentage of the measured value. |
| Reliability | The degree to which a measured or calculated result can be trusted. |
| Propagation Rule | A mathematical rule describing how uncertainties combine during calculations. |
Key Takeaways
- Calculated quantities inherit uncertainty from the measurements used to calculate them.
- For addition and subtraction, add the absolute uncertainties.
- For multiplication and division, add the percentage uncertainties.
- Smaller percentage uncertainties generally indicate more reliable results.
- Always report calculated values together with their uncertainties and units.
- Understanding error propagation helps scientists judge the quality and reliability of experimental results.